Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 14, 2019

December 14, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Once in a Lifetime 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Munsoor 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Distilled Spirit 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Pataz 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mega Millions 4.50 6.9 13-1
3 3 Little Harbour 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Friends Beer 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Tapping the Glass 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Paradise Pride 3.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Tyler Time 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Montauk Traffic 3.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Mr. Rainbow 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Fed Funds 6.00 8 15-1
2 2 Super Dancer 10.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Bright Dawn 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Call Me Jelly Roll 1.80 2.9 5-1
1 1 Swirrlie Shirlie 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Nine Martinis 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Atlantic Avenue 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Words of a Feather 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Nevisian Sunset 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Weekend Flyer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Well Hello 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Rockstar Girl 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Last Love 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Dr. Ann 2.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Takechargmatriarch 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Firth 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Appealing Honor 20.00 5.6 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rohrbacher 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cape Lookout 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 Awesome D J 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Closer Look 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Celtic Treasure 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Caladan 5.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 I’mthetapitnow 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Tobacco Road 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Can’t Pass It Up 12.00 10 19-1
9 9 Like What I See 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bucked Tooth 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Alphastest 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Baravelli 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Dapper Mun 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Allthewrongreasons 3.50 6.5 12-1
11 11 Hunca Rock 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Awesome Agenda 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Charitable Spenny 20.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 All Spun Up 30.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Odds R Against Us 30.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Captain Trips 15.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 Forthegreatergood 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Artful Splatter 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Esterina 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Lunar Rille 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Yesterdaysplan 3.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Fanniebellefleming 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Sarah’s Treasure 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Fairy Wish 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Bunting 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Showalter 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 John Jones 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Old Time Revival 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Eastern Bay 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Aveenu Malcainu 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Senior Investment 5.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Baytown Glory 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Determined Vision 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Unequivocal 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Shadow Boxer 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Circle of Light 10.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Ticker Tape Parade 15.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Sensational Notion 15.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Crazed 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Tapitontheside 30.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Lucky Junior 6.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Patriotic Quest 30.00 12.6 24-1
8 8 Wilko’s Goldeneye 30.00 13.6 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.