December 14, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tf Shez Jess Dashin | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tdz Jet Black Down | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Runaway Second Down | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Quick Jewel | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jess a Fast Rogue | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Timing Mann | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brileys Prize | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Diamond Prize | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hh Gailforce | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jess a Cajun | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perry Mouse Tale | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patriot On Ice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Tuckers Prize | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heza Bell Perry Jr | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soft On the Coronas | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lrh Mojo Rising | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Igottarampage | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rdd Easys Fast Dash | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Corona Down Perry | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bibbity Bobbity Blue | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Junie Blue | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaways Attitude | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mpshinning | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Im for Real | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shesa Diamond Diva | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Politics Here | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Force of Anakin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Forthe Money | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Nother Zoobilee | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightemupwithcharm | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabulously Black | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chloes Got Game | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Favorite Blue | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Razzatoni | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bayou | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reluctant Warrior | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mister Intuition | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ibeam | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inca Warrior | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Two Utes | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charlie Hoss | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creole Candy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Les Paul | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Galaxy | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Bermuda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Our Lost Love | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sebs Princess | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schiff’s Corner | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Priority | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sincerity | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distractor Factor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vacherie Girl | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Sweep | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unrestricted | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Papa’s Boy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | T’ Cadeau | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Pit Road | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Rocket | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Neon Sky | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Creole | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My First Guitar | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chambliss | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Looking for Bull | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Minit to Stardom | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Fantasy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ours to Run | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Unified | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond Cutter | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz the Faith | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tenpins Tempo | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Crazy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Richard Ronald | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chimney Rock | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Outofmybind | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Binding Agreement | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pickens | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Minit I See U | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Palvera | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harper’s Deelite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flash Me Back | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Theoryintopractice | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninety One Assault | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Navy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Afleet Ascent | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Budro Talking | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Remembermis | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lucky Andy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Im a Cowboy Too | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make Me Smile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Magic Vow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Star Fitzstall | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Underpressure | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Fitzstall | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make Me Smile | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trevilion | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mageez | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bistraya | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grande Basin | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pound for Pound | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Is Too | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Room to Finish | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eskenformore | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Special Blessing | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Net a Bear | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savvy Shipman | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Fugitive Lady | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Marywood | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Billie K | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tenpins Tempo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Emily Jo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Yonna She Goes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Brew | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monte Man | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laughingsaintssong | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Win Lion Win | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Takes Two to Tango | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Inspector Eddie | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stand Him Up | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunker Down | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy John | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Barrel Man | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treys Midnite Moon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Friend Flavin | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Casual Pleasure | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Underrated | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lucky Artie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Commercial Flash | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foursweetnieces | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Star Prado | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wildabout Audrey | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spider Legs | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charsey | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great in Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | She’saholyroller | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Saber Cut | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.