December 13, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Flying Blue | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Goddess Aphrodite | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gotta Be Lucky | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Court | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Probable | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Northern Encounter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Magistrate | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remember to Smile | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stick Up | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Kimberly K | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Durga | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Kitty | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top of the Game | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Two Minutes | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Park | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Autumn Day | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For Him | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tasunke Witco | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bamboozler | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Call Me Daddy | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mahi Mahi | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Debt Monger | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sound Checkers | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Convex | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lets Get Wild | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jemsek | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Smoke | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Carousel | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shenandoah Star | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Florentine Diamond | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Herunbridledpower | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coalinga Hills | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Timberlake Gage | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bragging Rights | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Erebuni | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just Be Held | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Mousse | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cunning Munnings | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Policy | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anniversary Sale | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Buzzkill | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mayan Warrior | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Five | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Adare | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob’s Sniper | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Palm d’Oro | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buyback | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pasito | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My S V R | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dairy Kid | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willowglade | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Bells | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hope Parkway | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Root Beer Rag | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dannybob | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miracle Miler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.