December 13, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Looking for More | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixieland Humor | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet All Around | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Noela | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gracie’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aurora Nation | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Varsovia | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild About This | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Road to Peace | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Family | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Nebraskan | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Pointe Drive | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Guest | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duellist | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smell of Roses | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highway Flyer | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skyline View | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Creative Award | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vicky Apple | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Aliphant | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free to Fly | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Passing Moments | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Newmans Fast Girl | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hilltop Harmony | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Allgorilla | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blessed Journey | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rapstorerocks | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Budget Buster | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hero’s Return | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Realtor Danny D | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dominate Themoment | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Scar | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fortyeightstraight | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nathan’s Secret | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Violent Impact | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Taylorsinitiation | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | R Boy Evens | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sacco and Vanzetti | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Risk for Reward | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Trinni Tricks | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Molokai Night | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessd by the Best | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Good Advice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Latina | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worth Avenue | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arcelor | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distinctive Lady | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Assail | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Ice | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuesday’s Rose | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reward the Miracle | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Very Amusing | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gran Greyfrost | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stink Man | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Tiger | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American River (VEN) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fulgencio | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C’Era Una Volta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flashing Diamond | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shall Return | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hill Valley | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dizzy | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jolie Bay | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motion’s First | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plato | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes for Less | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m More Ready | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drama in Dixie | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Revenge | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Benevolence | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo’s Had Enough | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 12 | Chasing Helicity | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tennessee Cotton | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Romance | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fantastic Kingdom | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tailadios | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speed too Tume | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweepeno | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Karlita | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dudicious | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tell Me Maux | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tweety Kitten | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rucia Mora | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Elite Appeal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kaufy Futures | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dude’s Secret | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fairy Link | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.