December 8, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Waldorf | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jacks Escarpment | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Lomond | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sumerian Bell | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Sting | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bow and Arrow | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drink in My Hand | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Money Matters | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elite and Big | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkish | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indica | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia’s Extortionist | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mata Harry | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manny | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Kodiac Kid (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Faith Over Fear | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get Off My Tail | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alternative View | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost Dance | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Pecan | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adore Me | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Better | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | First Crusader | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Precious Badge | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Talbot | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stash the Cash | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mambointheforest | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of York | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Track D Gold | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Major | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Red Return | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Different Days | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Better Boogie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gold Venture | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Astaire | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bend in the River | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Town Dancer | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Gypsies | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chairman Fiftyfive | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Homelander | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lili’s Song | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Valeski | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Tribute | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spider Belle | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casanova Kitten | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | F B I Guy | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Tap Tango | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magna Ride | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Full Extreme | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jammin Still | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Spring | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Society’s Tiger | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Krachenwagen | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ace of Diamonds | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nestleton Hush | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Nile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | H. M. S. Pinafore | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bella Nina | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bel Tempo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleck | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Glib Marylin | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Honeypotts | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liddyup | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wolverina’s Willa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ontario Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Voyage | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avie’s Samurai | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merveilleux | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Shadows | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | November Fog | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Pink Pegasus | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Seemee | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheek to Cheek | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bens Last Call | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Elite | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leonard’s Bay | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itstartswithadrink | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Therealquaff | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Backed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mac | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Eyes Touched | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dont Get Smart | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Natural Habitat | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Martini Sue | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chairman’s Venom | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellatara | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Seen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wassup Buttercup | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Strike Again | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palace Two Step | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Chairman | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiesta in Vegas | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Gizmo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ringdana | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bahamian Park | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Chart | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Onezy’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rosiejewel Dancer | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Fiction | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Keep Going | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flashymeister | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donnie Brasco | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cause for Alarm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Halo | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnite Snackattak | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toxicologist | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Champ | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winsroy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.