December 8, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Appolina | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Indicator | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bellazano | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promnesia | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Maneuver | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Discrete Stevie B | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rocketann | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Rissa | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Channel | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormin Ranger | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitty’s Whiskers | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lonsdaleite | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Special Day | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hydrogen | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeffnjohn’sthundr | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Azul Coast | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cebolla | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heywoods Beach | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctrinaire | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Frozen Belle | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elusive Ride | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Muchomoneybaby | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m the Hero | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tacocat | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trouville | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magical Path | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sugar Pickel | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Rosa Drive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grandpa Louie | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sea of Liberty | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afternoon Heat | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jetovator | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Man’s Man | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Loafers Boy | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Demand | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spendaholic | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Posty | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R Matineigh Idol | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Wonderfully | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laker Jet | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reinahermosa | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Stepper | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greater Glory | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Barbie | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Can Partie | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | River Echo (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justinian | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Can Do This | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystery Messenger | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play Money | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erotic | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Suebee | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo See Cal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Queen Bee to You | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Humor | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zusha | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kim K | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mirth | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Listen Linda | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daddy’s Melody | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Osteria | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swingn It | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casillalater | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cali Rocks | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Petronilla | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monchichi | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Writing in the Sky | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lala Fleur | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Suezaaana | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miracle Miler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.