December 7, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Morissette | 0.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snow Blossom | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Woman Flyer | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pastiche | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose of Dublin | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Racheybullbah | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point Lockout | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risque Express | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamy Cat | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Knock Out Kid | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Schmooze | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Candelita | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Initforthelonghaul | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Tough Angel | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carry Your Heels | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chessen | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runnin On Sunshine | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thirsty Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amandasromeo | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hendaya | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Humor | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Volodina | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleeterthan | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cawaja Time | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bucks Some | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Noble Weed | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delinquent | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Silverzar | 1.20 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Syndrome | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threatlovesmidnite | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Legendary Jack | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King’s Gold | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Obviously Dramatic | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Superfly | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Auld Lange Syne | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Irish Colonel | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Bluff | 30.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Regalian | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Boldness | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Espresso Caliente | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Won the Case | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fist of Thor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Royalty for Life | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Love On Fire | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Sheplaysthefield | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Pinkout | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Big Red Seven | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gracias Adios | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | True Upgrade | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Her Divineness | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Enigmatica | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dan’s Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Gotta Be Strong | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Avalon | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Key Light | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Dilly Dilly Philly | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Mill and Gloria | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Maggie Mae | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Grazen Honor | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Promised Storm | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Newstome | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Breezy Gust | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Ritt | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Literally | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Candy | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hockey Puck | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1X | 11 | Live Fire | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beyond the Bend | 12.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Occhi d’Oro | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Devils Child | 20.00 | 13 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fear None | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Lord Winsalot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.