December 7, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Towards the Light | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seattle Encounter | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bully for Eric | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Puriano | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rmanie’s Grey Suit | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harrovian | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Bouchon | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dutt Bart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Magic | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectator’s Dream | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Shilo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Flyer | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharpshootingeorge | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Dodge | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Storm | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Merwin’s Magic | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Blue Dancer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hootie | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Anthem | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meistermind | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street to Indy | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bitter Ring Home | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Single Me Out | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | High Velocity | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thousand Words | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anneau d’Or | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wrecking Crew | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | League of Shadows | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Make It a Triple | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Pass | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torosay | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rick’s Dream | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Owning | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rogallo | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Message | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoovie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Amatara | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mulhima (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Empire | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Peintour | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Donna Veloce | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bast | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gingham | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K P Dreamin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ra’ad | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Unit | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phast Pharoah | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Path | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hallowed Gift | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Beach | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Opus Equus | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Sunshine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Champs Success | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiger the Man | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Tony | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baltimore Beecho | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Radio Tim | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Precher | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ridge Route | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zees Empire | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Startling | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tenga’s Gold | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overkoter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | He’s a Hit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.