December 7, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Cost Basis | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Croi Mor | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Onward | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modernist | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Stopper | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Degree | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zuzudini | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Kingmeister | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dack Janiel’s | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Liam’s Fire | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atomic Blonde | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Sorrentina Lemon | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tass | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jabuticaba | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Panther Hit | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Monaco Princess | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 7 | On the Town | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Team Win | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jennemily | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shelter Island (FR) | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuned (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | California Night | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Affair | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Promises | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Mist | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Ramsey | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Drive | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | They Shot Sonny | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toohottoevenspeak | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fire Key | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Policy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight Romance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Run | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mentality | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Imperial | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wildcat Combat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rose Flower (GER) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boos (FR) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Treasure | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Carrizo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Angel At War | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Slimey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Calinas Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Our Circle of Love | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Default Rate | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapage | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Over Miami | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Afoot | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Farmington Road | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Juulstone | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Or’effice | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colloquist | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | First Line | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Feeling Dangerous | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Go For Wand H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spiced Perfection | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Needs Supervision | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saguaro Row | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Super Nova | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Broad | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Espresso Shot | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Two Point Oh | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Trash Talker | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hedonistic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | King Khozan | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bad Beat Brian | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Astronaut | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ego Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Angry Man | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Matty’s Marauder | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quixotic | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Villainous | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortune Found | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Demoiselle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Alandra | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lake Avenue | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Daphne Moon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Critical Value | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blame Debbie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Dare U | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Maedean | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fiftyshays Ofgreen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jara | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Water White | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Marissa | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Glass Ceiling | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Remsen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Sixty Six | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chase Tracker | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cleon Jones | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forza Di Oro | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ajaaweed | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Informative | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shotski | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince James | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amends | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cigar Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whitmore | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spun to Run | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Network Effect | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Security | 1.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat On the Back | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bal Harbour | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Looking At Bikinis | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | True Timber | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tale of Silence | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nicodemus | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forewarned | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.