December 6, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Google It | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Priceless Will | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mnemba Island | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Samuel H | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liquid Louie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Owen’s Souper Moon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Society Misfit | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Komunist | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Embrace My Uncle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Sweet Brynlie | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dolly Stormy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Springdetti | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hurricane Emily | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gimbala | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jaya Ho | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sugati | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Capture Your Heart | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bel Ayr Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Giovanna Ponti | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Doll | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Hot | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Handsome | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Serengeti Cat | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vividari | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gasconade | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alacritous | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Gump | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Desdemona | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maritimeconnection | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Audrey Grace | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ami’s Link | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Special for You | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Via Ann | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not Orbinary | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sothatsthewayitis | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maximum Entropy | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hanchy | 12.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Me the Prize | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | More Chances | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Watson | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Attilio | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risetothechallenge | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lynchburg | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Silas | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enchant Me | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Soul | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Mojo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brutus | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Encierro | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hit the Ticket | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frankie Barone | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zephan | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Man | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Silver | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Self Inflicted | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Lemonraid | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire for Effect | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roaring Forties | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hold’emforransom | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Uproar | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dragon Bay | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inclusive | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Douglas Road | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Victor’s Destiny | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pink Lemonade | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strolling Posse | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Charlie’s Game | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Crusader | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul n’ Spirit | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Recruit | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Sentence | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Flight | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gideon’s Sword | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Second Encore | 20.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forehead Fred | 20.00 | 17.6 | 33-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.