December 6, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Southern Dudette | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mintappearence | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swinging Bridge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Belacqua | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jolie Gee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ratatouille | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paper Doll | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Victory | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gone Pecan | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Trip | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katiebmeister | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Tap Dances | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chatain’s Flyer | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mabelee | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ladygogently | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jozzy Bell | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Countess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kohensrising | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mostcourageous | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emily’s Pegasus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Accustomed to Hope | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Susurro | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | High Hopes Dance | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen Bindala | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Half Vicki | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stang It | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joey G | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sofia Kape | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Badger Basin Belle | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mary’s Wish | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Invader | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Freakonthelead | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fulkerson | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnanimus Man | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cameron Rules | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wickets Way | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy This | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fusaichi Flame | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crider Cash | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Lucky Man | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Ka Oi | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Favorite Son | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flash It | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Forman | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Last Battle | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Temptation | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corvette Spirit | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Putthehammerdown | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Legacy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chrome Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King of the Testo | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Odyssey Explorer | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Opportunity Cost | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder and Rain | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Houdini | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Adrian Run | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brandi Bo Dandy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Cash | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Mario | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pay the Dream | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Times | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | See Carlos Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pickett | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Makeithappen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Game for Sissys | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prizeless | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Greeley | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Cookie | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hatties Jewel | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top of the Page | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Suspect a Storm | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risky Steps | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Broke in a Flash | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Kissing Buck | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Wise Cat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bushido Samurai | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Macandales | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Why God | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Peacefully | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Granfathersleugirl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Chatain’s Eagle | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart N Holy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Chatain’s Choice | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Old Time Girl | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Golden Knot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Irish Priority | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Something for Mama | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Diamond Flyer | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.