December 4, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kid Forester | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bala Falls | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fahrenheit | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Silence | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D Magician | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet Alpha | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rittamajig | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Girl | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have Fun | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Five Days in May | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Essa Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Five Sparrows | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justcall Me Candy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Phoenix | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Touch of Rouge | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Take the Gold | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eli’s Fortune | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Bad Girl | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D’s Soul | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Podgora | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Chocolate | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coolwater | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cheetahra | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Forest Lass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kay Syrah Syrah | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Fabulous | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shishka | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caledon Summer | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Matilda | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Madame Bovery | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Out of Cake | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Question | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snow Scene | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hope Garden | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Lester Murphy | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dance the Sky Away | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Playing Smart | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ailis | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Beach Sassy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petite Amie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ring in Silence | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wind Spun | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rewrote | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gabby’s Ballerina | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ducky | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Kingarvie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dotted Line | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agnelli | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truebelieve | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lakeside Park | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artiesattheparty | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancers Ghost | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Reign Man | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baddest Blues | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Under the Eye | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Text Me Up | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gizmo Flash | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bossalina | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artie’s First Kiss | 1.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamondsinhereyes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oxesome | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Candy Mountain | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Descente | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Carolina Grace | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Samurai Queen | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridlewise | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheekylicious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Vision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Canadian Eh | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Goddess | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack’s Memory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mystery Day | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twentytwentycrest | 4.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peut Etre | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Vision | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Eumenides | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinyasa | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.