Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 4, 2019

December 4, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Bonnie Gray 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lil Ms Bossy Pants 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Raising the Roof 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Oleta Inez 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Aim Spot 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Blue Suede Ransom 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Ruby Red Slippers 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Little Tator Tot 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Powered by Greeley 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Gabby’s Freedom 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sunset Seven 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 J P’s Pride (IRE) 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Jerrys Pridenjoy 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Destiny Awaits 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Red White and Loud 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Front Door 3.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Gold Buyer 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Post Close 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Taylor’s Sense 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scrimmage 1.60 2.1 4-1
7 7 Ambassador House 12.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Love That Warrior 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Our Bucket List 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Purple Heart Road 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Costa Alot 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Moonlight Willy 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Majestic Society 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Ch Bern 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Savannah Dandy 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Heza Sexy 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Attempted Sin 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wristlet 2.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Second Guess 3.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Proper Cross 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Causeur 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Buffon 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 U Complete Me 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Happy Journey 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Boston Brew 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Private Reality 10.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Lil and Tuff 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Western Star 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Indicatif 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Flash Dancerluck 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Absolute Drama 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Going Japanese 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jed’s Warrior 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Coco Amod 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Guilty Again 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Fireman Sid 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bitsy’s Carlos 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Delaware Basin 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Two Steppin’ Star 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Song N a Cat 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mucho Marvin 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mediamaker 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Flashing Angelbaby 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pops Legacy 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Untilwemeetagain 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Arctic Peace 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Sharp Henny 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Camrynsbigtimebaby 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Kelley’s Dream 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sarah’s Prayer 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 La Reina Isabel 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 And She Scores 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Go Selma T 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Senorita Closin In 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hinton 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Forevamo 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Nomo Ron 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Jimi’s a Star 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Pound for Pound 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Nate’s Attack 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Valyrian 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s So Bossy 2.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Hanging Lake 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Osceola Rose 6.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Little Brown Eyes 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Remembrance Rose 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Zugersee 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Aurora Pine 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Roll On Baby 30.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Peach’s Swan Song 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Gallop’s Star 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smooth Rapids 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Ideal Mallory 8.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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