December 1, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sailing By | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desdemona | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crumlin Time | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary of Scotts | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Via Ann | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make No Mistake | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sothatsthewayitis | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Denmark | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Countryside Drive | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Matteo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bread Crumbs | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Kitten You | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sundance Hit | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bridlecrest | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skipys Legacy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Roi | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King Causeway | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabertoss | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Argentium | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucas n’ Lori | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show Me Your Spots | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Retreat | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Native Prince | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Constantino | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slip Kid | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heydon’s Case | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Virga | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marten River | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Slew | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay of Rum | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Solution | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grom | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Google It | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Embrace My Uncle | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Priceless Will | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samuel H | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mnemba Island | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liquid Louie | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancers Ghost | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Owen’s Souper Moon | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Society Misfit | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Komunist | 20.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Chances | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Watson | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Attilio | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risetothechallenge | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lynchburg | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | English Conqueror | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enchant Me | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Soul | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Doll | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Handsome | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Hot | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Serengeti Cat | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vividari | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gasconade | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alacritous | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legal Gump | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Mojo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brutus | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Encierro | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Ticket | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frankie Barone | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broker’s Reward | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burning Man | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Self Inflicted | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Salute With Honor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Roaring Forties | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hold’emforransom | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiralty Pier | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dragon Bay | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire for Effect | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Uproar | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose’s Vision | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inclusive | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Douglas Road | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Anita Grigio | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Singing the Blues | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Obliviously | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Senorita Uno | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hillbillyhyde | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enhanced Finance | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy n’ Silent | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Win Lose Or Straw | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deep Maganta | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toy Show | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justcall Me Candy | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Dancer | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Now We Are Nine | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tahana | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Victor’s Way | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kid’s Mischief | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Sheriff | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paxos | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fritzie’s Boy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Timing | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pool Playa | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Fever | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piccadilly Beau | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.