December 1, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New Commission | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Indy’s Jewel | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Daydream | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harper | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Democratic | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lynard | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Favorite Grandson | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seat of Honor | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch My Dust | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Harbor | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General Bellamy | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kenyan | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poshsky | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dirt in Your Face | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Zulu | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Kid Rocks | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Koa | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Trust | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trilogy | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | R Jolley Dreamer | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Aimed | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King’s House | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fire Sparx | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gurt Boys | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Polished Steel | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sunshine Sperry | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scherzo | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Prep Pride | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Ironbound | 3.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Stormy Highway | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Admiral Eastwood | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brilliant Chase | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Cork | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Best Start | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Second Edition | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncle Renny | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sailor Again | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rickie’s Melody | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surfer Boy George | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raggy Rocks | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Union Wise | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still the One | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dramatized | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ami’s Artie | 2.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proudmiamicitizen | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vegas Tycoon | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Full Redemption | 30.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bradshaw | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | March Screamer | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | City Siege | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Hitter | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ride On Faith | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unnamed Soldier | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | El Dulzura | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Krakov | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rockys Warrior | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Klingon Warrior | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fox Red | 1.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Boy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Will’s Pioneer | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catch Fire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caniform | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shock Treatment | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.