December 1, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shannon’s Girl | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its a Ford | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Graces | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Funderella | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remembering Bobbie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Romance | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Causin’ Trouble | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Pleasantly | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Waynes Footsteps | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Sargeant Drive | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devoted Kitten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tricky Magician | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Thomond Park | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Vincent | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Letterman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 8 | Spectator Sport | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Later Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 9 | Dull Knife | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | River Knight | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Smidge | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Knight Frost | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Amanjena | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Decadence | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time Expired | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Like What I See | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Halo | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Entry | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | London House | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Drive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Our Honor | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horoscope | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hellbender | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | True Grace | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dawn’s Early Light | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chestertown | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Diannesimpazible | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Palace | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Political | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Banker | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rally Cap | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Lights | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fleet Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Who’s Driving | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Clear | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Latin Love Bug | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Outstanding Debt | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Skies Forever | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | New York Supreme | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dancing Kiki | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Makingcents | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aubrey Tate | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bankers Daughter | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Havin’ a Party | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mani Pedi | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Sting | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sure Stitch | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Domenica | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivory Not White | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Irena N Ella | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Control Group | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doups Point | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turbulence | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Danebury | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Calculated Risker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Local Counsel | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singapore Trader | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Recruiting Ready | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderful Light | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strike Power | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Farm | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nicodemus | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stan the Man | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Distortion | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Super Twenty Seven | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Talks | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Belief | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All About Reyana | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Cyn | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Bourbon | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annoula | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Barker Lane | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eye’m Gone | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Felony Melanie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Thirsty | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.