November 29, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Desert Poem | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Daddy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop Who’s That | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Queen | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alice’s War | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sailor’s Thought | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Florida Won | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Destiny | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Differential | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riker | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaultier (FR) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lapochka | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bowsprit | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lion Kingdom | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Break and Enter | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Uncle Drew | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Personal Journey | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Gizmo | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Humbug | 4.50 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Sky | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Forester | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chiricahua Signal | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frobisher Bay | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Badjeros Boy | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gem Alta | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Selling Out | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Black Storm | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Groundhog Day | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tinker Ring | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hollywood Critic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frac Attack | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highriseinthepeg | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dry Land | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Veloce | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Orazio | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’ve Paid My Dues | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazinaw Legend | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tara Citizen | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Nicola Brew | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Tap Tango | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cefalo | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sararenda | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Foxy Power | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Charity | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Harpswell | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Born Ready | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Noguez | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Am I Said | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Seen | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boatloadofnerve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rapid Beat | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Artifact | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Fuerst | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bitethebulletbro | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Station Rock | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hesathriller | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holysnapeneyeballs | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vaughan | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pineda | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speed Gauge | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ojiisan | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Victorious Bear | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deputy of Egbert | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thanks Again | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoomer Music | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radio Nowhere | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Derek | 4.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hedeman | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harmony Hall | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Pound Sterling | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Boy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silencium | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nana’s Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.