November 29, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Stretford End | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Paint Me Lucky | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abusive Gary | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Moonlight | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lambeau | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Muskoka | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cardiff Cay | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Music to My Ears | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aggressivity | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Truest Reward | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Will Dancer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Ranger | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dairy Kid | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Score | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chosen Moon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | More Honor | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Imagineiamfastest | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Storm | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Verynsky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’tteasethetiger | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | According to Buddy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surfside Sunset | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Whatsittoya | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Leroy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winning Element | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kylemore | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dukes Up | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lagoon Macaroon | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impression | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Secret Square | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ladies Luv Munny | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Swift Socks | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Goveness Sheila | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fierce Kitty | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | La Croix | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Unusual Secret | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella D | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Tiger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stateforest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sabinos Pride | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miss Kitness | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | It’s a Riddle | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kuda Huraa | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sister Diablo | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | For My Brother | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trouville | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cowboys Daughter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Platinum Nights | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mutineer | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canadian Game | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Must Chill | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbroken Star | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Five | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Hero | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Endeavor | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brazilian Summer | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Truck Salesman | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Cornell | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Brass | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parsimony | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soldier Boy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Trump | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Madman | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adens Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Touching Rainbows | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Street Vision | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | You’reright Again | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Daddy | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Unusual | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eustace | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Promise Nothing | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shootin Money | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Debt Monger | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matson | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cherry Pie | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sound Checkers | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flawless Clyde | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nietzsche | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Code Gray | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pastor Mike | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.