November 29, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doll | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Story | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anydayisherday | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Tale | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Banker | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Am Impazible | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Banker | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Another | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Won’t | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Variant Perception | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Robin Hood | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coral Legacy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jerome Avenue | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positivist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ides of Arch | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Conforto | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Letterman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hardest Part (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Quality Choice | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summer Sangria | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mazal Eighteen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canarsie Angel | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Desbordes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dancing Kiki | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Love | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Go Mo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jimmys Lass | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bean Indiscreet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Bounty | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tornado Crossing | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pippi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Businessindubai | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luzmaria | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Irena N Ella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bella Domenica | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | That’s My Cue | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vibrancy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dial Me Up | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bay Jewel | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wishes and Dreams | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Finding Fame | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Rain | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sistersledge | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theodora B. | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Andina Del Sur | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Too Charming | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matty’s Magnum | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Go Noni Go | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Another Broad | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Lounge Act | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Team Win | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | A Dixie Twister | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Restructure | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tide Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ellanation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Elle’s Town | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Piu Bella | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Stonesintheroad | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Carrizo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Lady Worthington | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hannah’s Smile | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brass Ring | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fangirl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Forgotten Hero | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Betty F (GB) | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can U Handle This | 50.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Take Charge Aubrey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thesis | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh My Papa | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morgantown | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coolboy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Is Heaven | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bustin Hoffman | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imaginar | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freudian Sip | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ventus | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Comely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arrifana | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Standard | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stand for the Flag | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellera | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oxy Lady | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Fit | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightscameraaction | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Destiny | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gio Ponti S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | En Wye Cee | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Halladay | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proliferate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Temple | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pioneer Man | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Under | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kadar | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Backtohisroots | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chilly in Charge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Osage Moon | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Unicorn Sally | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R V Treasure | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lookn Fine as Wine | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Candy Girl | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Malibu June | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hedonism | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stuy Town Baby | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tokyo Bay | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queentigua | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.