November 28, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stretford End | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paint Me Lucky | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Moonlight | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drink to That | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Music to My Ears | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Score | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aggressivity | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Ranger | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Dancer | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truest Reward | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Moon | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whatsittoya | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tteasethetiger | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verynsky | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imagineiamfastest | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surfside Sunset | 0.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | According to Buddy | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Square | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goveness Sheila | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella D | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fierce Kitty | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ladies Luv Munny | 0.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Socks | 0.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stateforest | 0.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Croix | 0.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Richies Noble Girl | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danceformunny | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Undisturbed | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Hearted | 0.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antigone | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Speighty | 0.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sassyserb | 0.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Augure | 0.00 | 16.5 | 31-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Time Grammy | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M Is for Magic | 0.00 | 18.5 | 35-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lakaya | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Awesome Ella | 0.00 | 21.5 | 41-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reducta (GB) | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Resarcio | 0.00 | 22.5 | 43-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Hero | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Nights | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mutineer | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Five | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Game | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbroken Star | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brazilian Summer | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Red Carpet H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lostintranzlation | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vibrance | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Journey | 0.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trustini | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strike At Dawn | 0.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zuzanna | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiny Tina | 0.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Store (IRE) | 0.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Kitness | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sabinos Pride | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kristi’s Tiger | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kuda Huraa | 0.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboys Daughter | 0.00 | 16.5 | 31-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trouville | 0.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 |
| 7 | 7 | For My Brother | 0.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Diablo | 0.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Riddle | 0.00 | 20.5 | 39-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.