November 27, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hostile Witness | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shandian | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Mazzy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Ned | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbyfromthepalm | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icy Dude | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Textpectation | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of American | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Princess Victoria | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stay Fond | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theodosia | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banana Anna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Zecha | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Nanny | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She Takes Charge | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riot Worthy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cartwheel | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maiden Beauty | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wait a Minute | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cathy Naz | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silver Token | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hudson Overpass | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear the Ramp | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Plebe | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No More Miracles | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tatterazzi | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millionaire Joe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Alert the Media | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jet for Andy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Miss Jak | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Science Fiction | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Flash | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honey Graeme | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Might Be | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orchid Party | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gypsy Janie | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Life | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freaky Styley | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Klickitat | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Implied Volatility | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jimmy Jazz | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dancers for Token | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Now | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kingfish | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Adversary | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Turned Aside | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aye Aye Sir | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Chimney Rock | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Three Jokers | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Turbo Drive | 0.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Maxwell Esquire | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Package | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dubai Bobby | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Ready | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mission Wrapitup | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Foolish Living | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Roxy Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mrs. Orb | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trial and Error | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Flashndynamite | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Distorted News | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Red Mule | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blacktop Legend | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cavaradossi | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duncastle | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ink Splotz | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paul Cane | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lawn Boy (GB) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camouflaged Kisser | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugartown Kid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Splitting Eights | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.