November 23, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Haynesville | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Remainder | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Happy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beaubouef | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reversaloffortune | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cadillac Frankie | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ain’tseentheball | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pointman | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dewey’s Bull | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Money | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Survey | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Carbonated | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Odyssey Explorer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cogan | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Applewood | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meditate | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ray’s King | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Harper’s Deelite | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jade’s Autumn Sky | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Toni’s Star | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | By Our Love | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | M V P Mookie | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flash Me Back | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Two Chips | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tapit On Race Day | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dewey’s Little Joe | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elisher | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Pipe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alterana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Allstar Superstar | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chatain’s Flyer | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonnie Gray | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Terri’s Temper | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Bet | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopeitsamiracle | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Unbridled | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doeny Sparks | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angelic Kriss | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fromagentleman | 3.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bliss La Vie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tina’s Pal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shooters Alley | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swift Shock | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macandales | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who Datawaki | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Needs a Check | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nastida Mast | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lip Service | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mundo Mutadda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Si Familia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Actif One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Saints N Muskets | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodprofit | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xairo | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brahms Baby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shesthecatsmeow | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kris T. | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | That’s a Song | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Creed | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crispy Creed | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hiclass Production | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant d’Oro | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jobim | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donwell | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rahfees Man | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Mesa | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Warrior | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Factor | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Menewa | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jean Lafitte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Winsalot | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Something Super | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | X Clown | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Bee Salute | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack the Umpire | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Rick | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saving Argument | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Thirst | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Custom Vision | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Such | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gifted Richter | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Zippy | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Rasen | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More for U | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clever Lad | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pops Legacy | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Formeredith | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spring Rodeo | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Mario | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Halos Prayer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Storm On the Mesa | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whitney’s Flash | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mardi Gras Parade | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smart N Holy | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chatain’s Eagle | 1.40 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Slippers | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Why Not Dana | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Nova | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runpeggyrun | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Orthodox | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mane Priority | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lexi Em | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.