November 23, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mandatory Payout | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bassman Dave | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casper Slew | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riken | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Bobby | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Larceny | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Magnetique | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dream Chasing | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Aubrey Tate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | City Temper | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lizzie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chouchou de Boo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Voltairine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fractorzation | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer At the Spa | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Kheisha | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bella Domenica | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Makingcents | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cemetery V I P | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | White Hot | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Irena N Ella | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Prairie Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Myhartblongstodady | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tempers Way | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Squeeze | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Derby Day Zip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Barrel of Destiny | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kerry’s Ring | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pecatonica | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paved With Gold | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Summer Fantasy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Love and Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sterling Beauty | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Puparee | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Jen | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minit Maus | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Ballantine | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brimstone | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Bernie | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Catch | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Sublime | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gorelli | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toohottoevenspeak | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Banana Thief | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pool Winner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Call Wil | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blueblood | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Celebration (GB) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Machtree | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Deep Sea | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Psychic Energy | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mad Munnys | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ethan Hunt | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Command | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | They Shot Sonny | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Amblin Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Telephone Talker | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kinenos | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eagerly | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Myamanoi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Assiduously (GB) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Voodoo Zip | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Plan of Attack | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Queens Empire (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | True Palace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lord of the Nile | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Farmington Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mandate | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Distorted Sky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stay True | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manolito | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapaloof | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Free Enterprise | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Caretaker | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie McCoy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kong Style | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zealous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fast Talking | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Orb | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Creative Style | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Something Magical | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Honey I’m Good | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Getmotherarose | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’llhandalthecash | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Mystique | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Albertville (GER) | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Golconda (FR) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Buff’s in Love | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Calinas Song | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Circle of Love | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Red Smith S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dot Matrix | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Knight | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Glorious Empire (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nakamura | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sadler’s Joy | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Slam | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marzo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Right Hand | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zumurudee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Have At It | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bon Raison | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dynamax Prime | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Postulation | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Backsideofthemoon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Petit Fils (FR) | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mokheef | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Blues City | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imperio D | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Titan’s Will | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled John | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Built | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Banker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Now and Again | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Visit | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glenn Likes Gin | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carnegie Song | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geils Rocks | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.