November 21, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Deja Raconte | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Abby Normal | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J J Jen | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kitty Therapy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trumpit | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vitanza | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Romance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tatterazzi | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Happy Music | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Cat | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barbara P | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ma Meatloaf | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handle With Care | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Caralicious | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Dawn | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Prosperity | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chillinwithfriends | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Zabava | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Corey Scores | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gracetown | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Mike’s Girl | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Five Alarm Robin | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Overheated | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Alvernia | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Tina | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom’s Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tan and Tight | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Nicky | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Count | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point of Humor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justinspeightofit | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spin Control | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peggy Sue | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Sparkle | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lem Me Have It | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abraxan | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party in the Sand | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Queen | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon High | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Whatawonderflworld | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Freud | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cloontia | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Catch a Cab | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gosilently | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Twisted Tom | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mobridge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Leaveematthegate | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Storm Prophet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carthon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Colonel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Satisfy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Passage | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Year’s Wish | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chipolata (FR) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Touriga (BRZ) | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raining Lemons | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Hayne No Gayne | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Be Magic | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mrs. Phelps | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Central Exit | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Devilish Affair | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Donna | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Officer Hutchy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maru | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Invasion | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fortune’s Girl | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queentigua | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Imprsstheprofessor | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | More Diamonds | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over Thirsty | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.