November 20, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Melody Rose | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shrew Grit | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | U Thought U Got Me | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stars Included | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfectly Precious | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Robyns Luckylizard | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Misty Ice | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Gosh Becky | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Powered by Greeley | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Her Kare | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shallow River | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vagary | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Sis | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ten Tap Dances | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hush Y’all | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ladygogently | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Beautiful Honduras | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smoothoutthetrack | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orthodrive | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cry Like a Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bermuda Bridge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Aunya Ruling | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scissor Bill | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Galaxy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linea Amarilla | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Purim King | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Look | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Majestic Society | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grand Tribute | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brush Whacker | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ch Bern | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | River Bobcat | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheers to Berti | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Master | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zip ‘n Sip | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heartland Hit | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiddlers Farewell | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Spring Value | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Beat | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Successful Ryker | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Half Heroine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elizabeth’s Music | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Siberianproduction | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Bottom Blues | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red River Chase | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Brown Eyes | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salt Life Angel | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Choosing Trump | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gallop’s Star | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Ruby | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s So Bossy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Krafty Boy | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freakonthelead | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Heisayankee | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Production | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leftfieldjunction | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Wined Up | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dry Wood Creek | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentleman’s Prize | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | For the Hustle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Spa Shackalacka | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss of Bourbon St | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jazz It Up | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sugar Footin Bling | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point of America | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Mug Shot Man | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quicksilver | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Landonese | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Underpressure | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inspector Eddie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Much Class | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Galaxy Builder | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pound for Pound | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rifle Man | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sir Genghis | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queeten | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewcitable | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Banjo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Exton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Light Her Up | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Eternalflame | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Five Star Nap | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wandernintheforest | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conspicuous Woman | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Henny | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bizzarrini | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Her High Road | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peacefully | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skylar’s Way | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temple of Roses | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tribute’s Pride | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heather Divine | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Knot | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Something for Mama | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paddy O’Belle | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’cat Blues | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Fire | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toshita Forever | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.