November 17, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Coilette | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoning | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellazano | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Darpa | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Diamond of Value | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Maneuver | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Ante | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Nu Pi Lambda | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lighthouse | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s So Special | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Mo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Agave Queen | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Carpe Vinum | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quiet Secretary | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Florentine Diamond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Alessandra | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jodie Faster | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elgofranco | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Measureofdevotion | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eddie’s Sister | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Long Legs | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shenandoah Star | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Foray | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Hunted | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sellwood | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Murad Khan (FR) | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Harbour Master (GB) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tule Fog | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Square Peggy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Portal Creek | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Busy Paynter | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nomizar | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swing Thoughts | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Super Klaus | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Suzzie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Dime | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Peaches and Nuts | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madame Bourbon | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smiling to Excess | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mosienko | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Acai | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Teachers Big Dream | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | French Rose | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Destiny’s Journey | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Ride | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Betty Grable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mo See Cal | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show It N Moe It | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen Bee to You | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Instinct | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starr of Quality | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coco Kisses | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love a Honeybadger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet Heat | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Magistrate | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love Not War | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Necklace | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Slew South | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Romance | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Y Not Sizzle | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tizzy | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Ember | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lydia O Lydia | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Probable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.