November 16, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sooner Schooner | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Willow | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zionica | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Girl | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joy’s Rally Finale | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bankers Honour | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redding Well | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poker Fever Gal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kohensrising | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boss Lady Melissa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hopeitsamiracle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Free Indeed | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Luckenbacher | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reach the Circle | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Standing Man | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freedomfi | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buy In | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bettin On Bryan | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Weezy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Spread the Faith | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Far Out Time | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Intuition | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tdz What a Dream | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Apriority | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Liam | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redding Coteau | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Playin N Traffic | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Band’s Luck | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope for Change | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Here Comes Homer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sovol | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Em C | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hunker Down | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snapper Bite | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born Again George | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Sorry Ruston | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reddy to Bet | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steppin’ Outonher | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lion Heart Legend | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Walking in Faith | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cheers to Berti | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Masterly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Proper Cross | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zens Secret | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heart Warrior | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Racer | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Distinct Quality | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Larry Dale | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Bind | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Behinda Angel | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Dollar | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shoesfromthegitgo | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Clever | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Diplome | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forest Girl | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tamariu | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kelley’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right On By | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stumberg | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheryl’s Copy | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yankee’s Fanny | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Formula | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midge’s Magic | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Asongforyou | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha to Omega | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapizars Secret | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Slipper | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Destiny Awaits | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Game for Sissys | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Makeithappen | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aw Shucks | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drew’s Shot | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delta Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Late Nite Mischief | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Star | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forevamo | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trevilion | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stephen’s Answer | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McFeely | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Extirpator | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Good | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballyhack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Closing Up | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broke in a Flash | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tentwelvefourteen | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blushing Dreamer | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ebrio | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash’s Adventure | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speedy Huntur | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam Skye | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Navy Typist | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talkothtown | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King Formeredith | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vivinsky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lodi Mist | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hallajoori | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Matt’s Pride | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minertime | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cherokee Bless | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gaby’s Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | West Bank Baby | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lone Star Diva | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blow Bayou | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crider Chase | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Judy’s Prize | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.