November 16, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bully for Eric | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubnation | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Fifty Coup | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into a Hot Spot | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buck Duane | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Gary | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Abner | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Federal Case | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin Rules | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rocky Tough | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jalen Journey | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | League of Shadows | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Young Hendrick | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zipper Mischief | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Joe Jackson | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hit the Seam | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Older Brother | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spectator’s Dream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Brazilian Summer | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Luck Is My Name | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nil Phet | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barrel Aged | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Western Flyer | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starship Chewy | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Derby Storm | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Moonlight Drive (ITY) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Dancer | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Offshore | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tequila Joe | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Getaway | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tough It Out | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Start a Runnin | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Musketier | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Real Master (FR) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Forever Juanito | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Many Roses | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mundaye Call | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Paige Anne | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Night On the Town | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Bristol Bayou | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Parkour | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Map Maker | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frozen Belle | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Awesome Drive | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Blend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Courteous | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devils Dance | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Bubbles | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Boom Boom | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Point | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sedamar | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out of Balance | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prima Valentina | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Invincibella (GB) | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harmless | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mulhima (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strongconstitution | 1.80 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Velocity | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rager | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howbeit | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Thousand Words | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Play Money | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Your Jets | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brix | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fravel | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cafe Clara | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abusive Gary | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bud Knight | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Tale | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.