November 15, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Amandas Lightening | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Rahil | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Nomo d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Liken It | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Hummel One | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Empresario | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Chrome Fire | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Soul Temptation | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Nate’s Fury | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Oplin | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Bending Saint | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Firecracker | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Paddock Pick | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Speedy Fellar | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Hold Me Black | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Nomo Ron | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Berko | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My Ty Fu Peg | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tucker the Grouch | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andiamo Giacomo | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Hero | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don Louis | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tin Delay | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bing Bing | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arties Game | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Bird | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready Redding | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sarge’s Daughter | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Green Lakes | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie Ems Pal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sucre | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rock the Jukebox | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girls Life | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diva’s Ransom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Pants Susie | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muskarella | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Seventeen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Why God | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Indium | 1.60 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Toga | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dad Said No | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kingdom Way | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hawks Peak | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Choose No More | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Simba’s Pride | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Debriyn | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Personal Conflict | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw X. | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andy Jones | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cool Individual | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirtysix G’s | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey’s Gone | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss of the Wolf | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | And Yet Another | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nomorequestions | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fix D Fence | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Izzy B Winn | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Halostar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Solid Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Moment | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Katie’s Bayou | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supersport Sally | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nana’s Joy | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Any Ole Thing | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Argumentally Elle | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wise Woman | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kim’s Wilcat | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ice Party | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harvey’s Song | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shanghai Woman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Treasure Chest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Classy Act | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shes Our Fastest | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magical | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer’s Indy | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pinup Girl | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Blessing | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fool’s Paradise | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All About Clara | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Operatic | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Best Kept Secret | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Varlebena | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Irish Hustle | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dora Maar | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Princesses | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sundereya | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yonna She Goes | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reachreachreach | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinley Cash | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Sooner Girl | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Run Ballerina | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Roc’n Maria | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cabo Sunset | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Typhoon Zing | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dabblin Channel | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madison’s Wild One | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Joy | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smooth Rapids | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Priority | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aurora Pine | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nina Loca | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salt Life Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.