November 14, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Freddieslilwildcat | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Raise You | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hold Me Kat | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jr’s Sauvage | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yakadaddy | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarvelio | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Untilwemeetagain | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Dude | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Image | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drewtempo | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Campus Leader | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kiss of the Wolf | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shotsoft | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Nippy Red | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Dreamer’s Point | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A He’s an O’Prado | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Just Kissing Buck | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Shaboxxo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ricky Dale | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bushido Samurai | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Cap Rock Miner | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Randy Paul | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Indicatif | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Western Star | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laken Longlegs | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Dancerluck | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Absolute Drama | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reece’s Priority | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Big Daddy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carlos Fine Custom | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | May Sun Can Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Salute | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Wings | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fafa | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cougar Country | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Harve | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A We Bit Flirty | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lydgate | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Soldiers Letter | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Journey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Handful of Stripes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Populist | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Half a Bite | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Eske | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flamin Fire | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doorag Jimmy | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Messed Up | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | C H My Last Dollar | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bucket List | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shaq Jack | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Black Justice | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iter | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noshackleshere | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B B Special | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ty Diesel | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aztec Delite | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Ginja Ninja | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Ide | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carson City Cat | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Pride | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dream Boss | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chan Man | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riskey Trickey | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paint I Ain’t | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Kip | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Going Japanese | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Guy Rak | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warriors Wolf | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Butter Hut | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saponi | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Count | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blazing Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Flash of Copper | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charlies Ticket | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Cookie | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Closing American | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smiling Song | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tedders Angel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash N Go | 1.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dev Mo | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace of David | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Realmente Calmada | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jewels of Sorce | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosecoloredglasses | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sattersfield | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tapit Baby | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twn Tawfeers Party | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Total Lilly | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yougotanotion | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Dawn | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ad Libitum | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’s Deadline | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Danza | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kenai Special | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devastating Beauty | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.