November 14, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My S V R | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Flirt | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goddess Aphrodite | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harper’s Gallop | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Kiss | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Brite Eye | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Goliad | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party Town | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commander (FR) | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hariboux (GB) | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pas de Panique | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fast as Cass | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dr. Bagley | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lagoon Macaroon | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gryffindor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Indy Jones | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Union Station | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Prince Magician | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Speedy Justice | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cebolla | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Restoring Dreams | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Benny Chang | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Too Late | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zero Down | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squared Straight | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Rickey B | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Policy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oil Can Knight | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Toothless Wonder | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Fashion | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alvaaro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Persephone | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kittyhawk Lass | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trust Fund Kitty | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jaccat | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vegas Strong Baby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bella Figura (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Samandah | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girona | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tinsel Town Queen | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dulverton Darling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Oh My Oh | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Threefiveindia | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horse Greedy | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Anywhere | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Koa | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Fast | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tropical Terror | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | If Id Told You | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Totally Tiger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocks and Salt | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canyon Crest | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Margot’s Boy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Descartes | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fantasy Game | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Tony | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Fast Bro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blues Rapper | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Guinessey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.