November 12, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Graveyard Shift | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Salsita Roja | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Glinda | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Iwasbornawinner | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Streak of Kitten | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Skookie | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Knight Tales | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Our Juliet | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 5 | High Math | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Country Squire | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Necked | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don Camillo | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clowney | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack O Liam | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Offlee Cloudy | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | The Money Train | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Army Man | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet First | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Belly Dancer | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pinkout | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Lucky Charm | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love On Fire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheplaysthefield | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rochela | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gracias Adios | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Known But to God | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shoreline | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Gamble | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catapult Jack | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blaze a Trail | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ami’s Artie | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pappa Rox | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cloudy Saturday | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proudmiamicitizen | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | De Punta a Punta | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Violent Turbulence | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indy’s Jewel | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Cork | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Max Player | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashraq | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Count | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Gray for Carolyn | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Invitation Only | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Littlemissbusiness | 1.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royalty for Life | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lendar | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Rithm Box | 1.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jemrose | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dan’s Girl | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Red Seven | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anissa | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Only Essa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keeping the Peace | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Press My Bets | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Splicethemainbrace | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bojingle | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | For the Road | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tally Mo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | War Tocsin | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E J’s Revenge | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Screen Saver | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Black Light | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Won and Done | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Admiral Lynch | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shane’s Jewel | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Monteleone | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Winning the Medal | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Take Your Place | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Puttheglassdown | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Special | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | South Sea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Corn Off the Cob | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Littlebitalily | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 10 | She’smyrisenstar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Northern Heart | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Knock Out Kid | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Congaree Rose | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Victoria E | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Helotes | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 8 | Risque Express | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.