November 10, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hailey’s Way | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Out ‘n About | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yellow Chick | 1.40 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Claire Bear | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Date | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tomarie | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Buck | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | You’re No Saint | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Klaatu | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Controlled Fury | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Chuck | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Vision | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Best Choice | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nice Surprise | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Mbrace Grace | 4.50 | 17 | 32-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | County Corrections | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sunshine Mark | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Delta Outlaw | 1.20 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ogeechee | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Potro | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Down With the King | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imasuperstar | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ask Chuck | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Only the Truth | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mimi and Charley | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Will Take Over | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ask Siri | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Joy’s Pride | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Seemslikeoldtimes | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Aleda Lutz | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Driver’s License | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | She’s Sure Classy | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Southern Aggie | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Floating Rate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Charlettee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wise Nobility | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Breezy Gust | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreams Untold | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cantstoprunning | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Star | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get Set | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Start | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sailor Again | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Second Edition | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Democratic | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reigning Fire | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lockets Rocket | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Coffee | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lorden’s Love | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hibernia Diamond | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hallucination | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Neck | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Trade | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bellamy Cat | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Incubator | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Worth His Salt | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Baseline | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maimo | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Watch My Dust | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doddsprivatelabel | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | General Bellamy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kenyan | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Undeniable Temper | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Manolete | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Martini Kid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aspen Xtreme | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Johnnie | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aspect | 0.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Wild | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peter G. Fox | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Obviously Dramatic | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.