Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 8, 2019

November 8, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Irishtown 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lets Play Hardball 1.80 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sojourner 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Wicked Son 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Taskinas 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 El Bombaso 30.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Global Currency 4.50 6.2 12-1
10 10 Booster Gold 30.00 7 13-1
3 3 Tastes Like Plaid 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Githagy 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Judi Blue Eyes 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tiz a Sharpie 1.60 5.1 10-1
5 5 Avocado 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Arbutus 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Ortinola 4.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Maryland’s Miracle 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Helen’s Pitch 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fort Royal 1.40 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mr. Maurice 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Dyna’s Knight 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Tophat N Whitetie 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Sway’s Godsend Rvf 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Trump Change 20.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Confusion 30.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Boppin Road 30.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 Carthage 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hit It Big 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sudden Breeze 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Once in a Lifetime 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Little Harbour 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Justin Front 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bricktop 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Candygramformongo 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 Victory Given 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Etana 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Aseelah 10.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Fly Time 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Orbette 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Jara 4.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Correctness 3.50 8.2 15-1
2 2 Deciding Vote 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Rising Light 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Saar’s Image 12.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Fashion Rules 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Meet Michelle 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zorally 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Minit to Stardom 0.60 2.7 5-1
5 5 Decoupage 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Liz’s Cable Girl 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Baby Boss 3.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Everlasting Secret 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 He’s Not Curly 2.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 I Ain’t Never 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Forty Acres 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Relentless Lion 3.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Sir Douglas 4.50 7.5 14-1
8 8 Best Offer 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Silver Romeo 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Praise the Moon 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 French’s Quest 15.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Maximum Horsepower 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Been Redeemed 5.00 7.3 14-1
13 13 Baravelli 4.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Hey Prez 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Make the Rules 5.00 9 17-1
7 7 Shadow Boxer 15.00 9.1 17-1
15 15 Conquistodor Fuego 30.00 10.4 20-1
14 14 Lucky Junior 6.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Hunca Rock 12.00 11.1 21-1
9 9 Awesome Agenda 12.00 11.1 21-1
4 4 All Spun Up 30.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Crazy Wild Bill 30.00 12.4 23-1
2 2 Defend the Bay 20.00 12.5 24-1
12 12 Captain Trips 12.00 12.7 24-1
5 5 Once More Eh 15.00 13.2 25-1
8 8 Native Flora 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Lucky Leonard 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Zitarrosa 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Fact of War 4.50 4 7-1
6 6 Hargus 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Day the Music Died 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Hill Shadow 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Nautical Nature 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Bettor Bank On It 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Lacrostix 15.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Tapitontheside 30.00 9 17-1
7 7 Unclenedwhodrank 15.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Quickhatch 30.00 12 23-1
4 4 Sunman 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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