November 8, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irishtown | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lets Play Hardball | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sojourner | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Son | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taskinas | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Bombaso | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Global Currency | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Booster Gold | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tastes Like Plaid | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Githagy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Judi Blue Eyes | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Sharpie | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avocado | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arbutus | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ortinola | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maryland’s Miracle | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Helen’s Pitch | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fort Royal | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Maurice | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dyna’s Knight | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tophat N Whitetie | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sway’s Godsend Rvf | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trump Change | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Confusion | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boppin Road | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carthage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hit It Big | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Breeze | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Once in a Lifetime | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Harbour | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justin Front | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bricktop | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candygramformongo | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Given | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Etana | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aseelah | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fly Time | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orbette | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jara | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Correctness | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deciding Vote | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rising Light | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saar’s Image | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fashion Rules | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Meet Michelle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zorally | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minit to Stardom | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decoupage | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liz’s Cable Girl | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Boss | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everlasting Secret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Not Curly | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Ain’t Never | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Acres | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Relentless Lion | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Douglas | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Offer | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Romeo | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Praise the Moon | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | French’s Quest | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Horsepower | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Been Redeemed | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Baravelli | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Prez | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Make the Rules | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Boxer | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Conquistodor Fuego | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Junior | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunca Rock | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Agenda | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Spun Up | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crazy Wild Bill | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Defend the Bay | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Captain Trips | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Once More Eh | 15.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Native Flora | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lucky Leonard | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zitarrosa | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fact of War | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hargus | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Day the Music Died | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hill Shadow | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nautical Nature | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bettor Bank On It | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lacrostix | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tapitontheside | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unclenedwhodrank | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quickhatch | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.