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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 4, 2019

November 4, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 It’s Pazible 2.00 2.7 5-1
1A 9 Ronin Warrior 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kid Macho 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Warehouse 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Fear None 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 2 Hibachi 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Gaucho 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sergeant Azer 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Smart Prospect 6.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Homeboy 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Eclipsed Moon 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Grand Oasis 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mass Appeal 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sensational Zip 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Maynooth 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Fist of Thor 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bill’s Mafia 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fillupcohensapiker 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Peach Alley 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Madame Tiger 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Miss Avalon 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Lil Miss Hotshot 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Clare’s Dowery 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Her Divineness 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nileator 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Midnight Harbor 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Super Vision 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Scherzo 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Gourmet Delight 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cinco Y Cinco 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Freudian Fall 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Belly Dancer 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Army Man 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rosie Summer 12.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Bella G 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Presto Change O 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Betty’s Got Rythm 12.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Crazy Bea 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Speed Talks 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Princess Marisol 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Carmeltini 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 1 Fastroadahead 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 3 Light of Hope 30.00 5.6 11-1
6 4 Yelitza 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Lucky Lover Boy 4.00 3.1 6-1
11 9 Equus Novus 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Smart Rags 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Pahall Revear 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Tu Exageres 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Incidentally 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Ricardito 30.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Sea Swap 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Thefundsarelow 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Jimmy Who 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 7 Tommy’s Top Cat 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Bannon 30.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Kid Rocks 1.40 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mutaraabit 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Star Player 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Kion 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Kairos 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 Legacy’s Prince 30.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Redneck Cowboy 30.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Dubrovsky 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 He’s Got Talent 12.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Midnight Games 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Thomas Knight 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 2 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Rockford 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Sight Line 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 6 Unruly Heir 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Don Camillo 20.00 6.4 12-1
1A 8 Baseline 2.00 SCRATCH
6 5 My Pirate 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Brio Man 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Parx Juvenile Fillies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 Fly On Angel 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Still Alive 3.00 3.1 6-1
2X 5 Project Whiskey 1.80 3.7 7-1
6 6 Lula’s Roadrunner 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 5 Ebo Special 1.80 SCRATCH
4 3 Persian Queen 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Capital Q 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Bird Tycoon 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 She’smysunshine 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Manipulate 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 5 Dr Vunno 20.00 4 8-1
6 4 Cornet 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Scoobydoopapa 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Finn’s Posse 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Fire Ant 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 8 Pablo’s Storm 3.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Snoopy’s Bid 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Railroad Bill 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Tippecanoe 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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