November 3, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Identity | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smoky Blues | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singandcryindubai | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodoldhockeygame | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colleen’s Sailor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phil in the Blank | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sent From Heaven | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bronze Age | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fine Grit | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Tiger | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Disclosure | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viature | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Deal | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auburn Hills | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancers Ghost | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racing in the Rain | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glorious Tribute | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resurgent | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Glorious Song S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | New York Groove | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battleofwinterfell | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tortuga | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mom’s Red Lipstick | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Paquita | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Beast | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ann of Cleves | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Souper Hot | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Handsome | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Analyzer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Highway | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Boss Factor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Serengeti Cat | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Society’s Tiger | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alacritous | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alicia’s Kid | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bitethebulletbro | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Amnesty | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Newfie Express | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tall Water | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Hambone | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Vinnie | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conquer the Breeze | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sundance Hit | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skipys Legacy | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strikecrest | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Corduroy Road | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Stormfuhr | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leo From Heaven | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charge Ahead | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viewfinder | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Freeze | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Epilogue | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Polydeuces | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D Magician | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | That’s My Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Real Money | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Grom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Brass Compass | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hollywood Hideaway | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Minister | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Conquest Lemonraid | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roaring Forties | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Candy Crushem | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silent Jet | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hold’emforransom | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rose’s Vision | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Riker | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Fly Over | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Autumn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr Ritz (GB) | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Forces | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cooler Mike | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salute With Honor | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiralty Pier | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isotherm | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Anthony | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Say the Word | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strike a Beat | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bokermin | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lion Kingdom | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Show Me Your Spots | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guestimation | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wings of Victory | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Break and Enter | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Self Inflicted | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Cloister | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Journey | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Florida Won | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Forester’s Destiny | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Ticket | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Young Lord | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guitar George | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gem Alta | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coleyville | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Gizmo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Freitag | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Immunity | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Eliminatr | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.