November 3, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amazing Ride | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sengekontacket | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Autonomous | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooke and Emory | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Tap | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay Jewel | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nutzforboltz | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Albie | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legion Storm | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Risky Sour | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Impazible Odds | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dashing Dan | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Worth a Shot | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Wonder | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Jo | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Beachside | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Affair | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Asset | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aristocratic | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carrier Landing | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Deep Sea | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thousand Percent | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | They Shot Sonny | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swiping Dan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Long Term Thinking | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Somes Sound | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up and Onward | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ownitifyouwantit | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jake Rocks | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Fun | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alan’s Argument | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gongheifatchoy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Chelsey Flower S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sparkling Sky | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Micheline | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Heat | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Breeze | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Fatima | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Astoria Kitten | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Kitten | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Title | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bredenbury (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaktomeofsummer | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dowse’s Beach | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Getaway | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Elektronic | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Mission | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Le General | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Discretionary Marq | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sudden Surprise | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Psychic Energy | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Light the Posse | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We Should Talk | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ethan Hunt | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mission Command | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Manoffire | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Leaky Cup | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guns of Steel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tour de Force | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proven Reserves | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backsideofthemoon | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Bleu | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vincento | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seethisquick | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Westerland (GB) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Zagora S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fools Gold | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pamina | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | War Cabinet | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Homeland Security | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Zip | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empressof the Nile | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wegetsdamunnys | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mercilla | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Belle | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Montdore | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not in Jeopardy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sky Full of Stars (GER) | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Nashua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Meru | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lebda | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chase Tracker | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Independence Hall | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Americanus | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spycraft | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ashaar | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Famished | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Polar Bear Pete | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Liveyourbeastlife | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Red Mule | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What’s to Blame | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Point of Humor | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Blacktop Legend | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Duncastle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cavaradossi | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don Ciccio | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Mike | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camouflaged Kisser | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Good Solution | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Knockout Punch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Ride | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Azzedine (FR) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cool Your Boots | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.