November 2, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Super Patriotic | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Madam | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strikingly Lovely | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Fever | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherubic | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ygritte | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worlds Apart | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Louise the Laser | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady of Moray | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dolly Stormy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Springdetti | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gimbala | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bel Ayr Bay | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance With Me Baby | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jaya Ho | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Candy’s Dream | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Diamond | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Honor | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karakontieparadise | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | L’Amour Toujours | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Cheeks | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itskathiesluckyday | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tap the Mojo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Darren’s Fortune | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flashymeister | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Donnie Brasco | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Retreat | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chilling Secret | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synergized | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spirit of York | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Uno Champ | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ingordwetrust | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Halo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bazoo | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bullet Speed | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dry Land | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkish | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Head Kitten | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truebelieve | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valuable Pillow | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Union Appreciation | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dyna’s Gamble | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | A Song for Artie | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Lemonade | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thanks Again | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Gauge | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Name Is Gus | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bob W. | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Recruit | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bartman | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Chiamo Stefano | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triglav | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bossalina | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Born to Be Good | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaldea | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foxy Power | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Staronthehorizon | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Brew | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gizmo’s Princess | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizapromise | 8.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sexy Nexy | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maple Leaf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s the Berries | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lift Up | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Mo Mentum | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avie’s Mineshaft | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Garden | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A. A. Azula’s Arch | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Care Lady (ARG) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Theodora B. | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violet Blue | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yorkton | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shakhimat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noholdingback Bear | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Boy | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle of Friends | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | O’Kratos | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin to Strike | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boreal Spirit | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Richiesinthehouse | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Painting | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brookies Bear | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dynatown | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fresh Princess | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hibiscus Punch | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grey Seal | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boogie With Me | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Double Medal | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Subsidiary | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Congeniality | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cavernndchipmunks (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Souper Shenanigan | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | First Crusader | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buttermilk Pike | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wolf Ridge | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seemee | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | True Dat | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailin Street | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wiley O’Rielly | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Precious Badge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Edition | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Robusto | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Flamboro Jewel | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sure Would Forest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cash Dividend | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.