November 2, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jak | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Radiantrithym | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Graeme | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Janie | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cover Photo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Turbo Drive | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Rudy Go | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power Up Paynter | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Troubadour | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notorious Flirt | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zipalong | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sanctuary City | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ariesberg | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | De Kooning | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goneonamission | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | The J Y | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whatawonderflworld | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Opt | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Freud | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ides of Arch | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shamrock Kid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Outrageous Bet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Durkin’s Call | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Danebury | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Three to Thirteen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Local Counsel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Zinger | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Money | 0.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Playwright | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Centrist | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ventus | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Professor Snape | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Forty Factor | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Getoffmyback | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Simba | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Javelin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Ballantine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | H Man | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brimstone | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gorelli | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toohottoevenspeak | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Lord Camden | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Empire Express | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Diannesimpazible | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stanhope | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellarmine Hall | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Portfolio Hedge | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Legend of Bam | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Voliero | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Political | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | True Grace | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tempesta | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dante’s Fire | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stash My Money | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Valid Quest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Forever Wicked | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Payne | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Binkster | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Style | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark N Cloudy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Trick | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | American Rule | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Souper Courage | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talent Scout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Quick Entry | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Regrets | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bassman Dave | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon N Rye | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bears Mafia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Quintarelli | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strategic Outlook | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Da Meister | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gallant Bid | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sobersick N Sorry | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bronxville | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mac’s Revolution | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | Our Stormin Norman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Turnback The Alarm H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Award | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellera | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlit Garden | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gotham Gala | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeltrin | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Frost | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Broad | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alberobello | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zena Rules | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Blues City | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Royal Lineage | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Macho Boy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Titan’s Will | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Victory Built | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unbridled John | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Small Invasion | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Microscope | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Banker | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Him She Kisses | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cray Cray | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Palace | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.