November 1, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Guilty | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Production | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sovol | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’yeti Man | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redding Coteau | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonshinerboy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flamin Fire | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maclean’s Silver | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Madiba | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buxterhooter | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Krafty Boy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Masterly | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Freedom Factor | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Buddy Chuck | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Just Kissing Buck | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whathadhappenwuz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Reluctant Warrior | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Bermuda | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shae’s Day | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Navy | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Purim King | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Linea Amarilla | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Bucket List | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Attempted Sin | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Prince | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | My Pal Torres | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cougar Country | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ty Diesel | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noshackleshere | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vastjesus | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Rapidash | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Set Hut | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mighty Intimidator | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Proud | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bud’s Mr. B | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stihl Harbor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ty’s Agenda | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Thirstyamericangal | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Judy’s Prize | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gray Haze | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Invited | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Distractor Factor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fresh Snuff | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Sweep | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Patch | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olive Reins | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Familiar Rhythm | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnanimus Man | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indium | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Factor | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hawks Peak | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oneholylion | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raise Em Up | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Conflict | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Natealyze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Toga | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elektracutioner | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Key Red | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cats Beauty | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Level | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosemary Beach | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toga’s Margrock | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wandernintheforest | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Her High Road | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bizzarrini | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Make Me Smile | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Carmelized | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rifle Man | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Inferno | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Moon | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Banjo | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Raising the Roof | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedpoint | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Have a Point | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hiclass Production | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Space Cowgirl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hopeitsamiracle | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buy Me the Ring | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mostcourageous | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Marcia Rose | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy O | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlotte’s Wish | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamite Daughters | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Pass | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Expections High | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Island Blue | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Deal | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ratatouille | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bayouland Kelley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.