October 31, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leading Man | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Verse | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catonsville | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbelievable Story | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Terrific | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liar | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blade O | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fellow | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Yes Means No | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Men | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not Necessarily | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Mongo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Game Break | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Smarty | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diten | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daper’s Drink | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Optical Illusion | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Time | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Above It All | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blazing Reed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Disco Volente | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | One Real Cowboy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Thumbprint | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cheetah Beach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bronze Charm | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Allison K | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My T Talk | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Group Text | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Exchange | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Determined Mission | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Third Card Down | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Towson | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heningham | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barbsgray Lion | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Outflanker | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Boom Boom Gone | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weekends for Work | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Trafficplan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Orbiting the Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zig | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takechargmatriarch | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kickstartmyheart | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Molly | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Height of Thestorm | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Brown | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myladycharlotte | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vorticity | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Fortitude | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clubman | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Power | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonny Inspired | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Revival | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Paradise Pride | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | He’s Not Tapit | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Enjoy the Music | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Hero’s Return | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Tomcat Black | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tabled | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crocketts Bluff | 9.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sincere Man | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Maximo Strong | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Speedy Hans | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Great Camanoe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Order for Porky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rohrbacher | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Limbo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Culture | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birdsnest Party | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Fought | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robin Hood | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Spades | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Posterity | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bustoff | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dream Doctor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Papal Law | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Positivist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Foldover | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ninety One Assault | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s Divine | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artful Splatter | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Love’s Legend | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pebble Road | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carolina Ice | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cassidy Ave | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stakes On a Plane | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Request | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | War Tweet | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nevisian Sunset | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | High Sierra | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Annie Boo Boo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Star Flare | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sidereal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Roller | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Junction | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bo Vuk | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papacho | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spartiatis | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magician’scalendar | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quit Your Moanin | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jonathan McD | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grosco (MEX) | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Refunded | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amphitrite | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Luna | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy But Sassy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoss Kitten | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devilish Affair | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vics Cool Cat | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheers N Applause | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willow Drive | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.