October 31, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dreamer’s Point | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Split Tens | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Toe | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Way | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dad Said No | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Binding | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kid Correa | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Marais | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Boy Johnny | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Debriyn | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indium | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Xiroma | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honor My Speed | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Such | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kiss of the Wolf | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Data Central | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Marco’s Tribute | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brown’s Monkey | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Six Grand | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lookin Strong | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Vincenator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mallory’s Home | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kick N Kiss | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trattoria | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Vicki | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancepark | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olivia’s Duchess | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Taste for Talent | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Great Sky | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hideaway Hero | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mizztic Tale | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Erik the Red | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pinch Assault | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Baires Boy | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fusaichi Flame | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Drewsizzle | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Madiba | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Tonights Star | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s an Honest Man | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No More for U | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peace Lane Boy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yakadaddy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Untilwemeetagain | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Drewtempo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Private Reality | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Some of Merit | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Pete’s Crown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Freddieslilwildcat | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | War Dude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broke in a Flash | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Causeur | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Box | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Secret | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gato Del Banco | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G Cisive | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Callmechamp | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Capo Caddy | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Campus Leader | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caeus in Pasadena | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | A. P.’s Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | D’wildcat Indian | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | For Real Alice | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Argument Won | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dueforadate | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Any Ole Thing | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supersport Sally | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzy’s Song | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tenpins Tempo | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saints’ Girl | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Pants Jen | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ide Stang You | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thegrayspider | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Billie K | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Tap Dances | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Maline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spa Shackalacka | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Yankee | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Silver Pins | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Successful Ryker | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Even | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Shalis | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzhour | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Christopher Cat | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zmor Aristocat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gary | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dance Kingdom | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charming Bullet | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunya Ruling | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Galaxy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alma Derby | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jack’s Kiss | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luke the Drifter | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Man E Dubai | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mickey’s Halo | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mainichi Harbor | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mister | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Streaker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.