October 26, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scaramucci | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fort Royal | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Viking | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Junior Senator | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pistoleiro | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dyna’s Knight | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Bay | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talented Dr. B | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fellow | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trump Change | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Super Donna G | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pepper | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Get Directions | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Combat Queen | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Meet Michelle | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Concrete Magic | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Any Minute Now | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glossamer | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lively Lea | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Down With Brown | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Candy Girl | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smart Entry | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Trouble | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Golden Can | 20.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Willow Drive | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yougottabekitten | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Somekindofmagician | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maryland Pride | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dig Charlie Dig | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bandito | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excelisberg | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Smurthwaite | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Closer Look | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Croque Monsieur (GB) | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Colonel | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Caladan | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Passport | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Groovy Surprise | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Project Whiskey | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romney Marsh | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broad Storm | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Justice | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Sea Smoke | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Chip Prospect | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Dulce | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Godlovesasinner | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Geyser | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mice and Men | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nautical Nature | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Railmaster | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spicy Meatball | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Odds On | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pleasant Empire | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Well Hello | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Queen Michelle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cause I’m Edgy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warm | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockstar Girl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bossy Bride | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Justaholic | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubini | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fielder | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oldies But Goodies | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love You Much | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eastern Bay | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square Shooter | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jammer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Triad | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zoysia | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Or Less | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Owner’s Suite | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Milli | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Brilliance | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prominent Star | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kate Carmack | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deciding Vote | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Susi Sole | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dapper Mun | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tappahannock | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campari | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Junior | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elevated Forever | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joey Gotcha | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Rose by Any Name | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Man | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Voodoo Valley | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Red Mule | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kukulkan | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winston’s Way | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Tower | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Times | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Maurice | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lawn Boy (GB) | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diten | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boppin Road | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trotter Road | 50.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.