October 24, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aleph | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamflowman | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Boulevard | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tipazo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elite Mission | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hewhomustnotbnamed | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pacquiao | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Scilly Cay | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dangerous Edge | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pave It | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chestertown | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Geta Lode of Lucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Box of Rain | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Firewater Jake | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baffin Bay | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tangled Web | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overbold | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halstaat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Brigade | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninja Dust | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trial and Error | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Happy Place | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Razeena | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | We Are Family | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Miss You Blues | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bell Court | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Quarky | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Morning Breez | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tenure | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shiraz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lonhtwist | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Trick | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Outrageous Bet | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Family Biz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Rule | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Snake Oil Charlie | 50.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Six Percent | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Hollywood | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Valor | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamzapper | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Hermano | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invest | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bebe Banker | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hokulea | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Getmotherarose | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Year’s Wish | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Go Noni Go | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Posse Needed | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I’llhandalthecash | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Psalmody | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rose Flower (GER) | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Laughable | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coalition Building | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Octava | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Antoinette | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Make Or Break | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Aziza | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jazzy Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lost Ticket | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Star Command | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pythagorean | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu June | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.