October 23, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Artilena | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Jilly | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Rain | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ladies Night | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Nile | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Above All Names | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crumlin Queen | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire for Effect | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canmore | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artistico | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surgical Strike | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King and His Court | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Ticket | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carissimo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Bankable | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Freitag | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Where’s the Widget | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jenny’s Victory | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piquet | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lenches Gimme | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Podgora | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zip It Jess | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nana’s Girl | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Gusto | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Savoia | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Town Cruise | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical Note | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unbounded Spirit | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redoute’s Light | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Follow My Lead | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Krachenwagen | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Western Crusader | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nature’s Fortune | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argentium | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nestleton Hush | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Robusto | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Full Extreme | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wandofuhr | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heydon’s Case | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Corduroy Road | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormfuhr | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Perfection | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distinct Passion | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drink in My Hand | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Hide From Me | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Mrs. G | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vesperanza | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Systemic Risk | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eli’s Fortune | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coolwater | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Queen’s Court | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Ballerina | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Grace | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Limit Babe | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Cantata | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamin On a Cloud | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Connection | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Florist | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Have Feelings | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Light My Path | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freshieintheforest | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugati | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Benevida | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance the Sky Away | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One for Nicki | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ailis | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amiens | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frost Dance | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Playing Smart | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Signature | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stella Unreal | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rewrote | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gabby’s Ballerina | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exhialator | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.