October 23, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Fats | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allthewaywithtaye | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ri Ri French Fry | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heart Warrior | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greeley’s Glacken | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beaubouef | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Bind | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Behinda Angel | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Overknight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Old Pep N Step | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Secret | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ronda’s Custom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alittlebitextra | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Hustle | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodprofit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snowball | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Net a Bear | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Cajun | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brahms Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Tricky Creed | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smart Pegasus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tambeaux Fina | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jennifer’s Arch | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Baby Bele | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Run Now Estella | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gator Proud | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lauralee Cocodree | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Siri | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zola | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cabeza de Tortuga | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Discretionary Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jet Sweep | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ta Kela Warning | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kool Aid Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Best Guess | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Skeeter | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | War Spirit | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kitchen Boss | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Katniss | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Greeley’s Doll | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Purely Blessed | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Belacqua | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gladys’ Frontier | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jolie Gee | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Custom for Carlita | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Selene’s Argument | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paper Doll | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noralee | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz the Time | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daylight Deelite | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Departed | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honey Hearts | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | It’sakatfight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harper’s Deelite | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | D W Strong | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chan Man | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Skip Chaser | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jed’s Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | King Kip | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Michki | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Guy Rak | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sailing Jett | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saint William | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Blues Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Ducky | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dontbefoolish | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proper Cross | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’ll Raise You | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forestry’s Buddy | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Larry Dale | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kye’s Addycat | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Kay | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red White and Loud | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Distinct Quality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Tapit Wicked | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fafa | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Tapitor | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | For the Hustle | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Chase | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Buck Dynasty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Centsmybabyleftme | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paynt Battle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Yeehaw | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Memory Magic | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Sid N Say | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Rachel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly and Kind | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Wife | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harper Bee | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzgalaxy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz One Fee | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spread the Faith | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clipboard Money | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Looking Up | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amphibian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Classical Dubai | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Venn | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hezanothercorredor | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kensley’s Hippie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr True | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.