October 21, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | You’re No Saint | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bowman’s Beast | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Theyallcomehome | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Roma | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alaapatique | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scherzo | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mind Magic | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Belly Dancer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tale of E Dubai | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Mz | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Boldness | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Romance | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dennis’ Diamond | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drosselmagic | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grit’n’grind | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Folk Magic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Moon Virginia | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Singer | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Annika Gold | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Elnath | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Excess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Stay Special | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild Haven | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brazen Prince | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Free | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hussar | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tricky Gamble | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quench My Thirst | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ami’s Artie | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cloudy Saturday | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proudmiamicitizen | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bad Nana | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Ruth | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Sandy Mischief | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Include Gold | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Misses Knight | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Pier | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Trappe Play | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Sarah | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sprawling | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 11 | La Candelita | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor N Grace | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Contrarity | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Saint Moon | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bells Irish Fancy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Racinginthestreet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Up Hill Battle | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Valuable Package | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Krissys Manicure | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stetson Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Miss Lamborghini | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Juliet’s Music | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Doctorsofmischief | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Feisty Madam | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Move | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galileo’s Affair | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B B’s Busted | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joycee’s Spirit | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anissa | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond N Simon | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star of Midnight | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | The Right Path | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2X | 11 | The Want of a Nail | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Mutaraabit | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Equality | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Artemus Bridge | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Storm Factor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Espresso Caliente | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Atta Kid | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3C | 8 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 14 | Incubator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 6 | Koan | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Senor Louie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Crowheart Butte | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Obviously Dramatic | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Totalitario | 1.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Flat Out Beautiful | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Dig Charlie Dig | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Semi Excited | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Won the Case | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wilderness Gate | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Kion | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King’s Gold | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Polished Steel | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Royal T | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sunshine Mark | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rydell | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ironbound | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Prep Pride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ebo Strong | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | The Italian | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gitidone | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Army Man | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.