October 20, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hip Hip Jorge | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Aces High | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Like Larry | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Memory of Floyd | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seventh Wonder | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame Ro | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Money Matters | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Odds Get Even | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Solution | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Dance | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’ve Paid My Dues | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frat Party | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Drill | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Say It Again Artie | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mocal | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Carotene S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amalfi Coast | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intanga Rose | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Zapper | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holyanna | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ariel | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monastery Lane | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Biddy Early | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unclaimedtreasure | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J M R Bold Vision | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanishbenediction | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Bling It | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold n’ Foxy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kewanne | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raspberry Wild | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conflation | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Google It | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Critic | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Oakley | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glorious Tribute | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veloce | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Final Strike | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Owen’s Souper Moon | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orazio | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Im No Saint | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tara Citizen | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Society Misfit | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Society Joe | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mnemba Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Red Return | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Eight | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guitar George | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Bo | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Immunity | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Plan | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Extension | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Illusion | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Young Lord | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cool Gizmo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Willy’s Castle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carissimo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Freitag | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bunty Lawless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silent Poet | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cooler Mike | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Cabernet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dun Drum | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Split My Pants | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmenootz | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Laser | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thor’s Rocket | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desolator | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Subzero Plus | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forestella | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonstone | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boogie With Me | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ishiyaya | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ladies Signature | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Garter | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Cant Catch Her | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Luna | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bold Animaux | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bear At Last | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Battle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decision Day | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Watchman | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nupogodi | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Telling You Twice | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Stellas | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish River | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Encierro | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Souper Catch | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Timeskip | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabertoss | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Differential | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blakey | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | It’s Fate | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Army Scout | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coleyville | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sleeplessdreammore | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | English Classic | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Krachenwagen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rising Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hit the Ticket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.