October 20, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Diva | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meso | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chalky (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girl Can Partie | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unicorn | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Much Happy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Necklace | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Shirimp | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Liar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Camby | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shake N Fries | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jen Go Unchained | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bouncing Around | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into a Hot Spot | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Fashion | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bad Gary | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Farquhar | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Never Easy | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commanding Chief | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Friendly Outthedor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Daddy Go | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Street | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Montana Moon | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Sunny Slope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mo Hawk | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Strongconstitution | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fore Left | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Whiskey | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Much More Halo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rager | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Knifes Edge | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rookie Mistake | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Goalie | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fantasy Game | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jamason | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drasario (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Phast Pharoah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Champers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nineeleventurbo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curlin Rules | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mutineer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Class | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | French Getaway | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proverb | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Beam | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rocks and Salt | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cleveland Cat | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Fast Bro | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fly the Sky | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blues Rapper | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tropical Terror | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | If Id Told You | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canyon Crest | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Will Not | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.