October 20, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super E | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Distilled Spirit | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prevail Upon | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | McElmore Avenue | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roof Top Bar | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jestful | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warehouse | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fear None | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Summer Somewhere | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | More Than Miles | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arctic Rose | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johng | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alfred | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tunstall | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a Tart | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Bam Bam | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Race | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irishrush | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs Mackes | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bovary | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Lila | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Premier Justice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Blame the Kids | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Incorporate | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Totaled the Benz | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Code | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maynooth | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silver Romeo | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beltway Bob | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Astute Warrior | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I Ain’t Never | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Front Line Paige | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jump Street Hero | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chocolate Ride | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Minister’s Strike | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Baltic Art (GER) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | My Own Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nottoway | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winplaceorshowono | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Articulator | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aveenu Malcainu | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confessor | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pulsate | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cerulean Springs | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ballivor | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Interventio | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runforthemunnings | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Arion | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daystrike | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chateau de Vizille | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ziggy Mon | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McPherson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Captain Thunder | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Xmasinthecity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wild William | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Battlebus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Quickpay | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Fight | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caira | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Fluidity | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sacred Lady | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icantrumpthat | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holly’s Lady | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starlet Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gracely | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Charreada | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Celestial Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Begonia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Champagne Diet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rag Top | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fanniebellefleming | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fiduciary Values | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Home Dixie | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Step Sis | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alexbabe | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lana | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petion Lass | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pride Leader | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Gallanor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kitty Zip | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Passion’s Image | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Umightbeanempress | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Skylark | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Turko Treat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Lantern | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Laughs | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Girl | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Hopes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sharp | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady Rozina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Conquesthardcherry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sunday Red | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Veil Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Another Whim | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emo | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brady to Gronk | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cindy B | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bahamian Royalty | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Coast Sky | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Congress Hall | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Winds | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.